Our goal is to make their bluffEV = checkEV
To put it another way, we can give them a profitable bluff, because their bluffs had equity as a check. But, since their bluffs have value, we can overfold and only defend 40% MDF. If this were a 0% equity bluff we’d call 50%. We know the EV of a checkback is 20% pot.ĮV bluff = 0.2 (pot) = (fold% x pot) – (call% x bet) Your goal is to make the EV of a bluff equal to the EV of checking back. How wide should you defend to make their bluffs indifferent? Their bluffs would have 20% equity as a checkback. Villain shoves for pot in position on the river. It doesn’t make sense to MDF hands that aren’t bluff-catchers, since they would’ve lost to a checkback anyway. If your opponent is, for example, bluffing the river with made hands, you should only apply MDF to hands that can beat a bluff. Instead, your goal is to make those bluffs indifferent between betting and checking! When bluffs have equity as a checkback, you’re no longer trying to make them worth $0.
